CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of October 4, 2016. 10-year note: Bloomberg ran a story on Tuesday saying the ECB would probably gradually wind down bond purchases before the end of quantitative easing, and that it may … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of September 27, 2016. 10-year note: Once again, Mario Draghi, ECB chief, urged Eurozone governments to complement central-bank action.  He was speaking before the European parliament on Monday.  Mr. Draghi said there … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of September 20, 2016. 10-year note: A steeper yield curve is typically associated with a strengthening economy.  So when the Bank of Japan says it will target a steeper yield curve, what … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of September 13, 2016.   10-year note: More and more, we are beginning to hear from commentators – both professional and in media – that major central banks are increasingly hesitant about … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of September 6, 2016.   10-year note: Is the ECB reaching the end of the stimulus rope?  This is not a consensus thinking, but the bank may very well be trying to … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of August 30, 2016.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: Prior to this week, after hawkish comments from several FOMC members, it looked like the August jobs report was the sole make-or-break data … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of August 23, 2016.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: In the Greenspan era, traders did not have to deal with the kind of mixed messages they do today.  Back then, the message … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of August 16, 2016.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: One more prominent central banker this week seemed to throw his hands up in the air. John Williams, San Francisco Fed president, in … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of August 9, 2016.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: Are we beginning to see a chink in central bankers’ armor? Major central banks responded to the financial crisis by aggressively deploying both … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of August 2, 2016.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: Mixed messages from two major central banks! On Friday last week, Haruhiko Kuroda, BoJ governor, decided not to live up to markets’ lofty … Continued