Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of March 19, 2024. 10-year note: Currently net short 574k, down 29.5k. It was almost as if Jerome Powell, Federal Reserve chair, did not want equities to go lower. That is the feeling … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of October 10, 2023. 10-year note: Currently net short 713k, down 20.9k. The 10-year treasury yield was volatile this week, to say the least. The five sessions went like this – up, down, … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of November 22, 2022. 10-year note: Currently net short 321.3k, down 21.8k. Markets and FOMC hawks are on diverging paths. In the futures market, traders expect the fed funds rate to peak just … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of May 24, 2022. 10-year note: Currently net short 225.1k, up 65k. May has one session to go before the month is over. The 10-year treasury yield is on course for a potentially … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of January 11, 2022. 10-year note: Currently net short 343.8k, up 66.9k. Last week, the 10-year treasury yield closed right at 1.77 percent, which was the high from last March. Since that peak, … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of June 8, 2021. 10-year note: Currently net long 173.4k, up 118.6k. The FOMC meets next week. This is the year’s fourth scheduled meeting; four more remain. Not much is expected to occur … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of March 2, 2021. 10-year note: Currently net short 95.6k, up 98.4k. Chair Jerome Powell apparently failed to calm bond-market nerves on Thursday – or at least that is how markets’ reaction would … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of January 5, 2021. 10-year note: Currently net long 27.7k, up 2.4k. After losing one percent last March, bond bears (on price) had been unable to reclaim the level. That ended Wednesday when … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of December 29, 2020 (data was made public this Monday instead of last Friday due to New Year’s holiday). 10-year note: Currently net long 25.2k, down 24.9k. FOMC minutes for the December 15-16 … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of December 1, 2020. 10-year note: Currently net long 25.7k, down 89.2k. Once again, the 10-year Treasury yield (0.97 percent) is back at testing the one percent level. Friday, rates rose as high … Continued