ITB Up 33% Post-Election, Bulls Defend Crucial Trend Line Support – Momentum Slowing

posted in: Economy, Equities, Technicals | 0

ITB, the iShares U.S. home construction ETF, has posted seven straight positive months.  The rally began last November – post-election. Momentum is not broken, but is not in acceleration either.  May was essentially unchanged – up 0.25 percent – with … Continued

After Massive Post-Election Rally, XLF Stalls – Risk Of Double Top/Head-And-Shoulders Completion

posted in: Credit, Equities, Technicals | 0

U.S. financials are acting lethargic but they have so far managed to cling on to potentially crucial support. Post-presidential election last November, a fire was lit under U.S. financials. Intraday between November 9 and March 2, XLF, the SPDR financial … Continued

Major U.S. Indices Clinging On To Support – Medium-Term Risk High

posted in: Credit, Economy, Equities, Technicals | 0

Equity bears have been rewarded the past couple of weeks, with the S&P 500 large cap index down 1.6 percent.  There is likely more reward medium term, but near-term is a toss-up. In the wake of the 2.5-percent drop on … Continued

XLY Weekly In-The-Money Naked Call Write

The importance of consumers in the U.S. economy cannot be stressed enough.  Real personal consumption expenditures (PCE) accounted for 68.6 percent of gross domestic product in the third quarter.  Five decades ago, PCE’s share was nine points lower. Put another … Continued

Odds Of IWM Breakout Suspect As KBE Gives Out Signs Of Fatigue

posted in: Credit, Economy, Equities, Technicals | 0

Is the Fed about to make a mistake? Post-FOMC meeting yesterday, the Fed’s ‘dot plot’ suggested a majority of policymakers were leaving the door open for two rate hikes in 2015.  After the release of the statement, TLT, the iShares … Continued

Weekly Out-Of-The-Money Naked Call On QQQ To Possibly Go Short

posted in: Derivatives, Equities, Technicals | 0

The PowerShares QQQ (110.05), the ETF that tracks the Nasdaq 100, seems to want to go lower, at least near-term. When the Qs broke out of 104-plus in February, it quickly added nearly four percent, rallying seven-plus percent for the … Continued

Option strategy to benefit from laid-back XLE versus chirpy WTI

Since spot West Texas Intermediate crude broke out of 54 mid-April, it has continued to add to gains, even as XLE, the energy SPDR ETF, has gone sideways/down. Since that major push through four-month consolidation in the middle of April, … Continued