Nasdaq 100 Defends 50DMA But Unconvincingly, Bulls Can’t Afford Weekly Chart To Take Over

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The top five in the Nasdaq 100 are done reporting 2Q.  They have had their post-earnings reaction – mostly positive.  This is occurring even as the index just got repelled at six-month channel resistance.  If bulls do not put their … Continued

XLY Weekly In-The-Money Naked Call Write

The importance of consumers in the U.S. economy cannot be stressed enough.  Real personal consumption expenditures (PCE) accounted for 68.6 percent of gross domestic product in the third quarter.  Five decades ago, PCE’s share was nine points lower. Put another … Continued

Out-Of-The-Money Naked Call On XLY — Willing to Go Short Near 77

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The Consumer Discretionary SPDR ETF (XLY) made an all-time high of 77.89 toward the end of April, and has more or less traded sideways in the past three months – closing Monday at 76.52.  This ETF is an important one … Continued

Retail ETF shows signs of finally catching up to weakening retail sales

U.S. retail sales disappoint again – has not grown four out of last five months Not much correlation between gasoline price and personal consumption expenditures RTH, which had diverged from weakening retail sales, has been weakening past seven weeks U.S. … Continued

Peek into future through futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of April 21, 2015.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: Are bond vigilantes expecting a hawkish tone from the FOMC next week?  The latter meets on 28-29.  For the most part, macro data … Continued

20-percent-plus move in CSCO past six months prices in fair amount of optimism, stock vulnerable at least near-term

posted in: Derivatives, Equities, Technicals | 0

Unlike a consistent Steady-Eddie CSCO of the past, the company’s quarterly results of late have been a hit-and-miss.  In the U.S., business capex is lackluster but steady.  In November last year, CSCO spooked investors with a downbeat outlook.  In February … Continued