CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures – How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of December 5, 2017. 10-year note: Currently net long 14.3k, down 109.6k. On Tuesday next week, a two-day FOMC meeting begins.  This is the eighth – and last – meeting this year.  A … Continued

XLF Bulls Manage Another Crack At 2007 Resistance, Meet With Failure Again

posted in: Credit, Economy, Equities, Technicals | 0

Once again, XLF (SPDR financial ETF) has been denied at resistance that goes back a decade. In December 2015, for the first time since July 2006, the Fed raised the fed funds rate.  It was a 25-basis-point increase to a … Continued

ITB Up 33% Post-Election, Bulls Defend Crucial Trend Line Support – Momentum Slowing

posted in: Economy, Equities, Technicals | 0

ITB, the iShares U.S. home construction ETF, has posted seven straight positive months.  The rally began last November – post-election. Momentum is not broken, but is not in acceleration either.  May was essentially unchanged – up 0.25 percent – with … Continued

Amidst Signs Of Rally Fatigue, Dollar Gets Jawboned

There is a new entrant in the list of things dollar bulls are having to grapple with.  It is the Donald. Bulls were already locking horns with overbought technicals and non-commercial futures traders who persistently refused to jump on the … Continued