Sell-Side Earnings Estimates Continue To Brush Off Warnings From Treasury Yield Curve, Crude And Copper

posted in: Commodities, Credit, Economy, Technicals | 0

The treasury yield curve, crude and copper are seriously worried about prospects for the economy. Not the sell-side, which continues to expect a banner year – both 2023 and 2024 – for S&P 500 operating earnings. Odds heavily favor their … Continued

Despite Massive Rally In Stocks, Risk-On MIA – Be It Through Lens Of Copper Vs Gold, Small-Caps Vs Large-Caps Or Offensives Vs Defensives

In less than a month, major U.S. stock indices have witnessed phenomenal rallies.  This would be a lot healthier if risk-on metrics rallied right along. U.S. stocks have rallied massively off of last month’s lows.  From the March 23rd bottom … Continued

Feeble Rectangle Breakout Last Week, SPY Gives Out Signs Of Fatigue

With a feeble rectangle breakout and rejection at the upper end of a rising channel last week, SPY is giving out signs of fatigue. Things look good.  Even great, some might argue.  This Friday, the first print of 2Q18 GDP … Continued

Ten-Year Yields Under Upward Pressure, But Not Enough For Major Breakout

posted in: Credit, Economy, Technicals | 0

Ten-year Treasury yields rallied last week to right underneath the top end of a three-decade-old channel.  A breakout has to wait for now. The 13-basis-point jump last week was big, and probably took many by surprise.  At one point, yields … Continued