The bull market is more than a decade old. Several metrics are at/near record territory. The energizer bunny keeps marching on. In recent sessions, bulls have faced difficulty taking out 3020s and may need to defend breakout retest at 2940s. … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of September 17, 2019. 10-year note: Currently net short 230k, down 70.5k. In the interbank lending market, there were two developments this week. The Fed cut its policy rate by 25 basis points … Continued
For the second consecutive month in July, foreigners were net purchasers of US equities, not sellers. They bought $24.3 billion worth, followed by $26.4 billion in June. This preceded 13 straight months of selling. On a 12-month basis, foreigners are … Continued
With a feeble rectangle breakout and rejection at the upper end of a rising channel last week, SPY is giving out signs of fatigue. Things look good. Even great, some might argue. This Friday, the first print of 2Q18 GDP … Continued
November NYSE margin debt increased 3.4 percent month-over-month to $500.4 billion. This is the fourth time in the series’ history it has crossed $500 billion. The first one occurred in April 2015 when debt rose to $507.2 billion – a … Continued
Back in early August, China engineered a fall in the yuan. Soon followed investor hand-wringing over whether or not it would be selling its Treasury holdings in order to stabilize the currency. The Chinese economy is slowing, and capital outflows … Continued
Late last year as the Federal Reserve was unwinding quantitative easing (QE), there was suspense in the air as to how this might impact U.S. stocks. Bulls argued QE was never a factor in stocks’ surge, rather earnings were. Bears … Continued