Ten-Year Yields Under Upward Pressure, But Not Enough For Major Breakout

posted in: Credit, Economy, Technicals | 0

Ten-year Treasury yields rallied last week to right underneath the top end of a three-decade-old channel.  A breakout has to wait for now. The 13-basis-point jump last week was big, and probably took many by surprise.  At one point, yields … Continued

Ten-Year T-Yields Back Up, But Still Under Crucial 2.62%

posted in: Credit, Economy, Technicals | 0

U.S. Treasury yields have come under upward pressure for nearly a month and a half, although the increase has not been uniform across the curve. The yield curve (spread between the two- and 10-year) last Friday was only 79 basis … Continued

Flatter Yield Curve Makes Fed’s Job Harder – Rally In Financials In Limbo

Ten-year Treasury yields are not going along with the Fed’s tightening posture.  This could be because of a technical reason or yields could be sending an ominous message. Yields reached a historic low 1.34 percent last July, and have been … Continued

What Could Be Behind Foreigners’ Dumping Of Treasurys In Dec-Jan?

posted in: Credit, Economy | 0

Back in the middle of December, when the Fed hiked rates for the first time in nine years, the FOMC’s dot plot optimistically forecasted four quarter-point hikes this year. On December 16th – the day the FOMC statement came out … Continued

TLT Weekly Short Put — Willing To Go Long Near Three-Year Support

posted in: Credit, Derivatives, Economy, Technicals | 0

Two-year Treasury yields – supposedly the most sensitive to Fed policy – are acting as if they are beginning to price in a December hike.  On October 14th, the two-year Treasury bill yielded 0.57 percent; by November 6th, the yield … Continued