Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of July 28, 2020. 10-year note: Currently net long 73.2k, up 44.1k. The 10-year treasury yield lost five basis points this week to 0.54 percent. Five-month support at 0.57 percent has been breached. … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of July 21, 2020. 10-year note: Currently net long 29k, down 29.1k. Tuesday, the FOMC begins a two-day meeting. This will be the fifth of eight scheduled meetings this year. There were two … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of July 14, 2020. 10-year note: Currently net long 58.1k, up 14.9k. The 10-year Treasury yield (0.63 percent) continues to bounce along the lower bound of a four-month range between 0.73 percent and … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of July 7, 2020. 10-year note: Currently net long 43.2k, up 12.2k. The 10-year Treasury yield is clinging on to support. It shed four basis points this week to close at 0.63 percent; … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of June 30, 2020. 10-year note: Currently net long 31k, up 24.5k. The 10-year Treasury yield cannot break the logjam. Since bottoming on March 9th at 0.40 percent, rates have pretty much been … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of June 23, 2020. 10-year note: Currently net long 6.5k, up 17.4k. The Federal Reserve continued to reduce its assets this week. Since rising to a record $7.17 trillion two weeks ago, the … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of June 16, 2020. 10-year note: Currently net short 10.9k, down 13.1k. Foreigners are aggressively getting out of the US sovereign bond market. In March and April, they sold $475.6 billion in Treasury … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of June 9, 2020. 10-year note: Currently net long 2.3k, up 55.2k. Post-conclusion of FOMC meeting, Fed Chair Jerome Powell Wednesday sought to play down May’s much-better-than-expected jobs report, which showed the economy … Continued
Stocks are ripping higher. Sentiment is exuberant. Several technical indicators are extended. The Fed’s aggressive action was a catalyst in March when major US equity indices bottomed. Its asset holdings continue to grow, but the pace of growth has decelerated. … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of June 2, 2020. 10-year note: Currently net short 52.9k, up 14.9k. This week, the ECB surprised markets with its new bond purchase program (more below). The FOMC meets next week. But no … Continued