CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of January 31, 2017. 10-year note: During his presidential campaign, President Donald Trump openly criticized the Fed’s easy monetary policy.  Indeed, since June 2006, there have only been two 25-basis-point increases in the … Continued

Pie-In-Sky Optimism Risks Hard-Landing

posted in: Economy, Equities | 0

Regardless whether or not it is solely related to the outcome of the November 8 U.S. presidential election, several data points have seen an uptick since. Stocks rallied, with the S&P 500 large cap index up nearly six percent between … Continued

More Room To Rally Should Technical Rulebook Plays Out, But…

posted in: Derivatives, Equities, Technicals | 0

The Russell 2000 small cap index (1370.70) is stuck in a rut at a higher plateau.  Sort of. The index has gone sideways for seven weeks now.  In the meantime, it rose to an all-time high of 1392.71 on December … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of January 24, 2017. 10-year note: Yields (cash) rose 14 basis points for the week to 2.48 percent, having risen as high as 2.56 percent intra-day Thursday.  Earlier, they bottomed at 2.31 percent … Continued

Sideways For Weeks, Crude Oil Ceases To Respond To +ve News

Over the weekend came news that OPEC and non-OPEC producers had taken 1.5 million barrels per day out of the market.  They had earlier agreed to output cut of 1.8 mb/d in the first six months this year. OPEC first … Continued