S&P Rallies To New High A Day After FOMC Decision; Last 3 Daily Candles Raise More Questions Than Answers

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Equities failed to rally last Wednesday, when the FOMC handed out a jumbo 50-basis-point cut. Stocks had a very nice session on Thursday. With that said, the last three daily candles on the S&P 500, which did rise to a … Continued

Homeowners Not Tapping Into Equity, Situation Unlikely To Improve As Fed Leaves Interest Rates Elevated Longer Than Currently Priced In

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US households have built up massive equity in their homes, but homeowners are not rushing to tap into equity. Rising rates are probably to blame. The situation is unlikely to get better in quarters to come, as the Fed keeps … Continued

Buyers Need Relief In Both Home Prices And Mortgage Rates Before Sales Pick Back Up

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Homebuilder optimism is catching up with weakening home sales. Starts have responded and inventory is sharply rising – a byproduct of rapidly appreciating prices and a rise in mortgage rates. Buyers need to see relief on both these fronts before … Continued

Supply Of New Homes Rising, Median Prices Remain Elevated And Mortgage Rates Firm Up

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The rise in supply of new homes is coming amidst relatively soft sales, inflated prices and now rising mortgage rates. Concurrently, builder sentiment is off its high but remains elevated, even as ITB is below potentially crucial $66. Sales of … Continued

After Dropping 19% Over 9 Weeks, ITB Bulls Defend 200DMA – Too Soon To Call All-Clear

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After a 19-percent peak-to-trough drop, ITB defends crucial support Wednesday.  Is this part of a normal correction or something is amiss in housing? In the last several sessions, tons of stocks as well as equity ETF’s and indices were literally … Continued

U.S. Home Prices Have More To Thank Supply Than Demand For Rapid Rise

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Of late, momentum in U.S. sales of both new and existing homes Post-bubble burst, price has appreciated much faster than sales improvement Builders express optimism but are cautious in starting construction; inventory well-behaved The upward pressure on U.S. home prices … Continued

Using Options To Play ITB’s Inability To Cash In On Week’s Good Housing Data

Over the past couple of days, U.S. housing produced two good reports for the month of May. Monday, existing home sales were published, coming in at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.35 million units – up 5.1 percent month-over-month … Continued

June Jump In U.S. Builder Sentiment Versus Recent Spike In Mortgage Rates

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U.S. home builder sentiment in June jumps, to match post-bubble high of last September Recent spike in interest rates, if sticks, potentially shot across housing bow ITB acts tentative, but has not given up on crucial 26 support U.S. home … Continued

Rapid recovery in U.S. home prices probably negating mortgage-rate tailwind

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Solid improvement in U.S. home prices comes with cost Peak bubble home ownership at 69-percent-plus anomaly not average Price weakness in recent months plus mortgage-rate tailwind unable to seriously ignite sales Leading up to the epic housing bubble in the … Continued