Long And Short Of Short Interest

posted in: Equities, Technicals | 0

Here is a brief review of period-over-period change in short interest in the November 16-30 period in nine S&P 500 sectors. XLB (SPDR materials ETF) XLB (51.88) fell out of multi-month horizontal support at 55-56 during October’s selling.  Shorts are … Continued

TLT Overbought Near Term – Path Of Least Resistance Down

posted in: Credit, Derivatives, Economy, Technicals | 0

The 10-year T-yield dropped from 3.24 percent a month ago to last Thursday’s intraday low of 2.83 percent.  The daily chart is grossly oversold.  A rally looks imminent near term, meaning TLT is headed lower. US average hourly earnings for … Continued

Odds Favor Shorts Near Term If S&P 500 Rallies To 2800+

posted in: Credit, Economy, Equities, Technicals | 0

Post-Powell’s supposed dovish switch last week, equity bulls spent lots of energy to rally the S&P 500 within less than two points of the 200-day.  If the trade-tariff truce the US and China reached over the weekend in Argentina is … Continued

Indices Under Pressure – Again – Bulls Need To Defend Recent Lows

posted in: Derivatives, Equities, Technicals | 0

Major US equity indices are once again under pressure, likely eyeing recent lows.  In the event they are not breached, options can offer an opportunity for nimble traders. Bears were looking at decent odds to get aggressive last week.  The … Continued

Several Momentum Indicators Oversold, Stocks’ Path Of Least Resistance Up

The ongoing selloff in equities has been quick and painful – similar to what transpired in February this year.  Back then, once stocks bottomed, they proceeded to rally strongly.  Will the current selloff evolve the same way?  Too early to … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of October 23, 2018. 10-year note: Currently net short 544k, down 71.9k. The 10-year Treasury rate (3.08 percent) shed 12 basis points this week – now down 17 basis points from the intraday … Continued

Long And Short Of Short Interest

posted in: Equities, Technicals | 0

Here is a brief review of period-over-period change in short interest in the October 1-15 period in nine S&P 500 sectors. XLB (SPDR materials ETF) Three weeks ago, XLB (50.51) fell out of a slightly rising ascending channel.  The drop … Continued