As Goes Crude Oil, So Go Stocks Near Term

posted in: Commodities, Equities, Technicals | 0

Crude oil sits at a critical juncture.  Depending on which way it breaks probably decides stocks’ path of least resistance near term. Last week, OPEC announced its commitment to cutting output to between 32.5 million barrels per day and 33 … Continued

July Foreign Purchases of US Equities Turn +VE – One-Off, Driven By S&P 500 Breakout, Or Something Else?

posted in: Equities, Technicals | 0

In July’s Treasury International Capital System data released last Friday, there was one particular data point equity bulls were probably happy to see. Global investors purchased $26.1 billion in U.S. equities in that month.  This was the highest monthly purchase … Continued

Covering ITB Short – For Now

posted in: Economy, Equities, Technicals | 0

Next week brings three important housing-related data points: the NAHB/Wells Fargo housing market index (September), existing home sales (August), and housing starts (August). In July, starts rose 2.1 percent month-over-month to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.21 million units, … Continued

XLY Short Cover … Another Shorting Opportunity Probable Soon

There is not much correlation between the University of Michigan’s consumer sentiment index and year-over-year change in personal consumption expenditures – mere 0.12 going back to January 1978 (chart here).  Nor is there any between consumer sentiment and XLY, the … Continued