CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of November 9, 2021. 10-year note: Currently net short 267.3k, down 1.3k. Bond bears (on price) have managed to defend support at low-to mid-1.40s on the 10-year treasury yield. On Tuesday last week, … Continued

Amidst New Highs, Spinning Top Shows Up On S&P 500 And Nasdaq 100 Last Fri – Volatility Itching To Perk Up

posted in: Credit, Economy, Equities, Technicals | 0

There were new highs all around last week. But after having rallied huge in the past month, major equity indices are not sending one uniform message. A reprieve is due, even as volatility is getting ready to perk up – … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of November 2, 2021. 10-year note: Currently net short 268.7k, up 153.8k. The 10-year treasury yield has been under pressure since posting a five-month high 1.69 percent on October 22. On Wednesday, as … Continued

Equities Rejoice – Fed To Taper Bond Purchases But In No Rush To Take Punch Bowl Away

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On FOMC day, major equity indices posted fresh highs. Bulls were assured by Chair Powell that the Fed will start tapering but is in no rush to take the interest-rate punch bowl away. Yet another session, yet another high! On … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of October 26, 2021. 10-year note: Currently net short 114.8k, up 114.3k. The FOMC meets next week. This is the year’s seventh meeting. After this, one more remain. At the September 21-22 meeting, … Continued

Equity Volatility Itching To Perk Up – Magnitude And Duration Notwithstanding

posted in: Derivatives, Equities, Technicals | 0

Equity volatility looks to be on the brink of a rally. The only question is if it will sustain higher or momentum will soon peter out as has been the case since its explosion in February-March last year. VIX shed … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of October 19, 2021. 10-year note: Currently net short 544, up 156.6k. In the 12 months to August, foreigners purchased $3.8 billion in treasury notes and bonds. As recently as February this year, … Continued

Major Equity Indices Rally Last Week – S&P 500 Breaks Out, Russell 2000 Reverses At Resistance, Nasdaq 100 Ends Right On Resistance

posted in: Credit, Equities, Technicals | 0

Major US equity indices all had a positive week last week, but with a varying degree of success. The S&P 500 broke out of dual resistance with bullish marubozu on Thursday and Friday, the Russell 2000 was denied at crucial … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of October 12, 2021. 10-year note: Currently net long 156k, up 14.7k. Last Friday’s high of 1.62 percent on the 10-year treasury yield represents a lower high versus 1.77 percent posted in March … Continued