Mar 09 Broken Trend Line Resistance Holds on Russell 2000, M- To N-T Support Lost

Versus large-caps, small-caps inherently suffer from shorter operational history, less access to capital, lower trading liquidity, lack of support from most mutual funds, lack of familiarity, lack of/less Wall Street research, and what not. Understandably, they are regarded as risky.  … Continued

S&P 500’s Rejection At May 2015 Downtrend Line Important Development

The S&P 500 large cap index lost 1.3 percent last week.  Intra-day, off the April 20th high through last Friday’s low, it is now down 2.8 percent.  The index retreated after unsuccessfully trying to break out of a declining trend … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of April 26, 2016.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: Two different central-bank meetings, and two different market reactions this week. Haruhiko Kuroda, Bank of Japan governor, has a habit of surprising the … Continued

NYSE, Nasdaq Short Interest Drops Again, But Will Shorts Have Last Laugh?

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Yet another fortnight and yet another show of strength by equity bulls.  During the March 31st-April 15th period, the S&P 500 large cap index rallied one percent, the NYSE composite 1.5 percent and the Nasdaq composite 1.4 percent, among others. … Continued

FXE Covered Put Instead Of Covering Short

The April 21st European Central Bank (ECB) governing council meeting was anti-climactic. The deposit rate on lenders’ reserves parked at the central bank was maintained at minus 0.4 percent.  As well, Mario Draghi, ECB president, continued his oft-repeated ‘all policy … Continued

S&P 500 Caught Between Squeeze Fuel Running Dry And Imminent Golden Cross

With five sessions to go in April, the Nasdaq 100 index (4474.19) is down 0.2 percent, while the Russell 2000 small cap index (1146.69) is up 2.9 percent.  Last week made a big difference, as the former was down 1.5 … Continued