In a seasonally favorable period, US equity indices are rallying but with hesitancy, with small-caps and tech struggling to build on most recent momentum. This can change if VIX breaches eight-year trendline support. As of the 16th this month, non-commercials, … Continued
S&P 500 buybacks hit a new high in the 12 months to September. Buybacks, along with earnings and margin debt, have been key pillars of support in this bull market. Failure to live up to expectations by even one variable … Continued
Margin debt rose to a fresh high last month and has a potential to keep rising in the next few months, but only if equity bulls manage to defend important support on the major indices in the imminent selloff. FINRA … Continued
Ahead of this week’s FOMC meeting, the major equity indices last week all rallied toward their October highs, even as short-term indicators got further pushed into overbought territory. The meeting likely becomes a sell-the-news phenomenon. The Russell 2000 finished up … Continued
Equity bulls are hoping for a squeeze. With index-level short interest at/near record, longs, if successful, will be able to build on last week’s positive momentum. Seasonality is on their side, but it is equally possible this potential tailwind has … Continued
Stocks are on the backfoot, with bulls continuing to hang on to optimism for lower rates and bears beginning to benefit from extended multiples plus weakening technicals. Near-term, bulls are likely to benefit from last Friday’s intraday reversal, even as … Continued
Equity bulls and bears are locked in battle. Until a couple of weeks ago, bulls were in the driving seat. Bears have had some opening of late, with increasing odds of more success in days/weeks to come. The sell-side continues … Continued
The major US equity indices came under decent pressure last week, although bids showed up Friday near the 50-day moving average. Buyers otherwise were missing in action overlooking the much-better-than-expected 3Q25 earnings season. Between the October 29th all-time high of … Continued
Going into last week, investors were keenly focused on a couple of things: FOMC meeting and Big Tech earnings. Benchmark interest rates were lowered on Wednesday, but there was no commitment to do so again in December. And, with 5 … Continued
From the intraday low 12 sessions ago, the S&P 500 is up five percent, with back-to-back gap-up sessions in the last two. This is taking place at a time when Nasdaq and NYSE short interest sits nears record highs. In … Continued