Nasdaq mini breakout, odds grow S&P 500 at least tests recent highs

posted in: Derivatives, Equities, Technicals | 0

The Nasdaq Composite (4508.31)has managed to pull off a mini breakout, and is trading above the level identified previously.  As a matter of fact, indices/ETFs such as the S&P 500 Large Cap Index and XLF (financials) have convincingly taken out … Continued

Nervous money managers sticking with their longs, but buying protection

posted in: Derivatives, Equities | 0

In a global survey of 200 institutional money managers, the Bank of America/Merrill Lynch found that the pros are worried about the stock market and are buying protection against a crash.  They are worried about geo-political events and about interest … Continued

Oversold bounce, or opportunity to go long?

posted in: Derivatives, Equities, Technicals | 0

The rally the past couple of sessions, is it an oversold bounce or is there more to it than meets the eye?  Particularly on Monday, money did come out of defensives such as utilities and health care, and into offensives … Continued

Bulls and bears duel for euro’s near-term direction, former likely to win

posted in: Currency, Derivatives, Technicals | 0

Non-commercials further added to net shorts in euro futures.  They are now net short 129k contracts – a two-year high.  In recent weeks these large speculators have been adding more shorts than cutting longs.  Since early June, they cut longs … Continued

As stocks sell off, NAAIM members essentially already all-in

posted in: Derivatives, Equities, Technicals | 0

Yesterday was the first time since April the S&P 500 Index violated its 50-day moving average – both simple and exponential.  This was the first test since May, yet there was hardly any resistance from the bulls.  Sellers simply overwhelmed … Continued

Odds of continuation — or a lack thereof — of divergence between large- and small-caps

There was an article on MarketWatch.com on Friday entitled “Why lagging small caps might not bring down the S&P 500.”  The title says it all.  The story seeks to justify why prevailing weakness in U.S. small-caps is not a cause … Continued

Divergences abound, small-caps included

Small-cap shares are lagging.  This is no news.  Small-caps have been a topic of discussion on this blog several times before.  They have lagged their large-cap brethren, the S&P 500 Index, since early March.  That was when money started to … Continued