Nasdaq 100 1.1% From July Peak, New High Potentially Squeezes Shorts

posted in: Equities, Technicals | 0

With spring in their step, tech bulls Tuesday rallied the Nasdaq 100 to trend-line resistance from the all-time high set in July.  A new high has the potential to squeeze shorts.  Nasdaq short interest is at a four-year high.  There … Continued

Bulls Have Momentum, Hope To Cash In On Lowered 3Q19 Earnings Estimates

posted in: Equities, Technicals | 0

Major US equity indices are within striking distance of July highs.  Sentiment took a small hit in recent weeks and has room to rise.  How markets react to lowered 3Q19 earnings estimates will decide if bulls will be able to … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of October 8, 2019. 10-year note: Currently net short 122.6k, down 41.1k. The 10-year Treasury yield (1.75 percent) put in a higher low.  On September 3, rates fell to 1.43 percent, which was … Continued

Thursday’s Reversal Opens Door To More Strength, But No Signs Of Risk-On Just Yet

posted in: Credit, Economy, Equities, Technicals | 0

Major US equity indices staged a massive reversal last Thursday, with more strength Friday.  This probably bodes well for bulls near term.  For this to translate into medium-term momentum, investors need to embrace risk-on. Real GDP growth has softened.  Four … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of October 1, 2019. 10-year note: Currently net short 163.6k, down 32.7k. Futures traders this week reacted to September’s ISM reports by jacking up the probability of a 25-basis-point cut later this month … Continued

Russell 2K Denied At Dual Resistance, Markets Not Buying Elevated ’20 Earnings Estimates

posted in: Derivatives, Equities, Technicals | 0

After a decent three-week rally, the Russell 2000 hit a ceiling just short of 1600 two weeks ago.  It closed last week right on the 200-day.  A convincing breach raises the odds of a test of support at 1450s.  This … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of September 24, 2019. 10-year note: Currently net short 196.3k, down 33.7k. On September 3, the 10-year Treasury yield dropped to 1.43 percent intraday, nine basis points from the record low 1.34 percent … Continued