Crude Oil ↓ 62%, Rig Counts ↓ 66%, Yet Production And Stocks Near All-Time Highs

In the past year and a half, crude oil has gone through a lot. It is not often a commodity of oil’s significance drops 61 percent in nine months.  Yet that is what happened to spot West Texas Intermediate crude … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of October 27, 2015.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: Once again, the Fed took a pass.  Its decision this week not to raise interest rates was expected.  What was not expected was … Continued

COT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of July 7, 2015.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: After the June FOMC minutes were released, investors pushed back expectations for the first interest rate hike to March next year.  The minutes … Continued

Oil-Related Layoffs Muted — Is It About To Change?

posted in: Commodities, Economy | 0

U.S. oil-related layoffs so far subdued Not surprising given ~80% rise in crude production past five-plus years Current production level problematic given inventory spike and downward pressure on crude price The spot West Texas Intermediate crude has gone through a … Continued

Breakout or fake-out? To find out, oil needs to retreat and find support at 47

Signs late last week WTI itching to move higher play out perfectly Oil as much a physical commodity as it is for investment/speculative purposes After 20-plus-percent move in four sessions, healthy if it retreats and finds support at 47 Some … Continued