Why Such A Disconnect Between Inflation-Focused Fed And Pivot-Yearning Markets?

posted in: Credit, Economy, Equities, Technicals | 0

Most traders on Wall Street grew up in a low-interest-rate, low-inflation environment. It is hard for them to relate to why Volcker acted the way he did in the late-‘70s/early-‘80s. Greenspan, Bernanke and Yellen operated at a time when inflation … Continued

Major US Equity Indices Rally Huge Into Resistance Last Week; Likely To Be On Pins And Needles Until Georgia Runoff Outcome

posted in: Credit, Economy, Equities, Technicals | 0

US equities surged last week pricing in a divided government – a Democrat in the White House, Republicans in control of the Senate and Democrats of the House of Representatives. Major indices rallied right into important resistance. The focus now … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of March 27, 2018. 10-year note: Currently net short 305.2k, down 8.1k. For the first time since mid-December last year, 10-year Treasury yields went under the 50-day moving average this week.  On March … Continued

S&P 500 Refuses To Buckle Under, But Sentiment Complacent Near Term

posted in: Derivatives, Equities, Technicals | 0

U.S. equity bulls regained momentum last week, but this also put near-term sentiment at/near complacency. Since rising to an all-time high of 2490.87 on August 8, the S&P 500 large cap index was bound by a falling trend line (Chart … Continued