Early Signs Small-Caps Undergoing Subtle Change In Momentum

There are some early signs markets are undergoing a subtle change – particularly as relates to the dynamics between small- and large-caps. Right after Donald Trump was elected US president on November 8, 2016, small-caps became one of the go-to … Continued

ITB Acts Tentative – Any Message For Builder Sentiment/Home Sales/Starts?

posted in: Economy, Equities, Technicals | 0

ITB (iShares Dow Jones US home construction ETF) continues to search for direction.  As did lots of other ETFs/indices/individual stocks, it fell drastically late January-early February.  Unlike many others, however, recovery since has been tentative, to say the least. From … Continued

Relief Rally Possible Near Term, As VIX Unwinds Overbought Condition

posted in: Economy, Equities, Technicals | 0

Last week’s mini sell-off in U.S. equities did not materialize all of a sudden.  This was building for a while. The Russell 2000 small-cap index in particular peaked as early as July 25. Investors/traders in general gravitate toward small-caps when … Continued

Russell 2000 Loses Feb ’16 Trend line – Albeit Slightly – Potentially Important Development

posted in: Derivatives, Equities, Technicals | 0

The Russell 2000 small cap index is dangerously close to breaking down.  On Wednesday, it violated a rising trend line from February last year – albeit only slightly. Of the four major indices, the Russell 2000 is the first to … Continued

Near-Term Fate Of US Dollar Index Likely Rests With Non-Commercials

The US dollar index, pretty much dancing to its own tune since peaking early this year, likely sits at a crucial level technically. The U.S. economy added stronger-than-expected 222,000 non-farm jobs in June.  Friday, the US dollar index pretty much … Continued