Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of July 27, 2021. 10-year note: Currently net long 164.5k, up 75.6k. This week’s FOMC meeting was big yawn except for one thing. Members obviously left the fed funds rate at the current … Continued
Ahead of a crucial week in which the FOMC meets and the top six US companies report, large-cap equity indices broke out to new highs last week. The knock on this is that rangebound small-caps are yet to achieve that … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of July 20, 2021. 10-year note: Currently net long 88.9k, up 32.9k. Next week, the FOMC meets. This is the year’s fifth policy meeting, and three more remain. A lot has happened since … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of July 13, 2021. 10-year note: Currently net long 56k, up 81.6k. One more month in which inflation overshoots the consensus. In June, headline and core CPI jumped 5.3 percent and 4.5 percent … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of July 6, 2021. 10-year note: Currently net short 25.6k, down 34.4k. On Tuesday, slicing through low-1.40s, the 10-year (1.36 percent) broke not one, two but triple support – four-month descending channel, 11-month … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of June 29, 2021. 10-year note: Currently net short 60k, up 57.6k. FOMC minutes for the June 15-16 meeting are due out next Wednesday. The meeting was a surprise to the markets in … Continued
Major equity indices had a good week last week. Stocks are currently in the midst of many crosscurrents, not to mention inflation, aggressive monetary policy and several extended metrics. Even though they have broken out of, or are near, important … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of June 22, 2021. 10-year note: Currently net short 2.3k, up 36.6k. Doves have won – for now. In the wake of a slightly hawkish tilt in last week’s FOMC meeting in which … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of June 15, 2021. 10-year note: Currently net long 34.3k, down 139.1k. Last week’s FOMC meeting pulled a surprise on markets. Members brought forward their projections for interest rate hikes into 2023, with … Continued
Major US equity indices are itching to break out. The question is, what then? Indices remain stretched on several timeframes. Longs have shown dogged determination but shorts are likely to decide if the momentum will have the staying power. Equity … Continued