CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of November 5, 2019. 10-year note: Currently net short 231.5k, up 115.4k. The 10-year Treasury yield (1.93 percent) bottomed on September 3 at 1.43 percent.  Since then, rates have formed higher lows, followed … Continued

Nasdaq 100 Reaches New High Last Fri, S&P 500 Itching To Do So; Left Curveball Could Come From VIX Futures In Due Course

posted in: Derivatives, Equities, Technicals | 0

The S&P 500 is itching to make a new high.  The Nasdaq 100 achieved that feat last Friday.  Lowered earnings estimates for the third quarter went a long way, among others.  Bulls have momentum right now.  Medium- to long-term, massive … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of October 15, 2019. 10-year note: Currently net short 99.7k, down 22.9k. Most US economic data out this week continued to point to sluggish activity.  Retail sales in September fell 0.25 percent month-over-month … Continued

Nasdaq 100 1.1% From July Peak, New High Potentially Squeezes Shorts

posted in: Equities, Technicals | 0

With spring in their step, tech bulls Tuesday rallied the Nasdaq 100 to trend-line resistance from the all-time high set in July.  A new high has the potential to squeeze shorts.  Nasdaq short interest is at a four-year high.  There … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of October 8, 2019. 10-year note: Currently net short 122.6k, down 41.1k. The 10-year Treasury yield (1.75 percent) put in a higher low.  On September 3, rates fell to 1.43 percent, which was … Continued

In Perfect Scenario For Bulls, Elevated Money Market Funds Combine With Elevated Short Interest To Squeeze Bears

posted in: Equities | 0

Bulls have managed to wrest control of momentum near term.  Bears had an opportunity late July-early August when in seven sessions intraday the S&P 500 lost 6.8 percent.  Bulls put their foot down near crucial support just north of 2800.  … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of September 3, 2019. 10-year note: Currently net short 377.9k, up 68k. The 10-year Treasury yield (1.55 percent) rallied four basis points this week, but not before setting a three-plus-year low of 1.43 … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of August 27, 2019. 10-year note: Currently net short 309.9k, down 91.9k. The 10-year Treasury yield (1.51 percent) could be setting up for a rally – duration and magnitude notwithstanding.  Wednesday’s intraday low … Continued

Upward Trend in Nasdaq, NYSE Short Interest Intact For 3 ½ Months – Could Help Bulls If They Can Force Squeeze

posted in: Equities, Technicals | 0

In the two-week period ended mid-August, short interest continued to rise on both NYSE Group and Nasdaq, respectively up 4.4 percent and 1.8 percent period-over-period.  In three and a half months, short interest has gone up 13.2 percent and 7.7 … Continued