S&P 500’s Rejection At May 2015 Downtrend Line Important Development

The S&P 500 large cap index lost 1.3 percent last week.  Intra-day, off the April 20th high through last Friday’s low, it is now down 2.8 percent.  The index retreated after unsuccessfully trying to break out of a declining trend … Continued

NYSE, Nasdaq Short Interest Drops Again, But Will Shorts Have Last Laugh?

posted in: Equities | 0

Yet another fortnight and yet another show of strength by equity bulls.  During the March 31st-April 15th period, the S&P 500 large cap index rallied one percent, the NYSE composite 1.5 percent and the Nasdaq composite 1.4 percent, among others. … Continued

FXE Covered Put Instead Of Covering Short

The April 21st European Central Bank (ECB) governing council meeting was anti-climactic. The deposit rate on lenders’ reserves parked at the central bank was maintained at minus 0.4 percent.  As well, Mario Draghi, ECB president, continued his oft-repeated ‘all policy … Continued

S&P 500 Caught Between Squeeze Fuel Running Dry And Imminent Golden Cross

With five sessions to go in April, the Nasdaq 100 index (4474.19) is down 0.2 percent, while the Russell 2000 small cap index (1146.69) is up 2.9 percent.  Last week made a big difference, as the former was down 1.5 … Continued

Despite Massive Rally Off Feb 11th Low, Investor Sentiment Not Effusive

posted in: Derivatives, Equities | 0

The magnitude of the equity rally the past couple of months has surprised many. Off the February 11th low through Thursday’s high, the S&P 500 index rallied 15 percent. This, despite the fact that equity flows into U.S.-based funds have … Continued

8% Rally Past 4 Months Brings FXE Right Up To Crucial Resistance – Shortable N/T

posted in: Currency, Derivatives, Technicals | 0

From the euro’s perspective, March 10th was an interesting session. Mario Draghi, ECB president, pulled out his big bazooka that day.  All interest rates were cut.  The existing QE was expanded from €60-billion/month in purchases to €80 billion.  And the … Continued

Big Stock Move Upon Us? Why Profits/Buybacks Likely Hold Key

Is the S&P 500 index (2035.94) resting or struggling at resistance? Either way, the rather lethargic action the past few sessions is not completely out of the ordinary given the move it has had off February 11th lows.  From low … Continued

Did Fri Breakout On S&P 500 Change Facts Enough For Bears To Change Mind?

“When the facts change, I change my mind.  What do you do, sir?” The above remark is often attributed to John Maynard Keynes, the British economist, although some dispute it.  Regardless who said it, it is a nice quote. More … Continued