CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of May 9, 2017. 10-year note: Currently net long 229.1k, up 49.2k. Back into the nearly six-month range … or near range support, to be precise. Since the election last November, 10-year yields … Continued

Diverging Messages From Three Major U.S. Equity Indices

posted in: Derivatives, Equities, Technicals | 0

If we just focus on tech stocks for a moment, one gets the impression that it is a very strong market. Right after the November election last year, tech stocks in general lagged.  But they came into life as soon … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of May 2, 2017. 10-year note: Currently net long 179.9k, down 34.8k. Pre-FOMC decision this week, futures were pricing in 63 percent odds of a 25-basis point hike in June and 60 percent … Continued

U.S. Corporate Bond Issuance To Drop Under New Tax Plan?

posted in: Credit, Economy | 0

President Trump’s tax plans could potentially impact U.S. corporate bond issuance once – and if – they become law. Annualizing the first four months, U.S. corporations are on pace to increasing bond issuance in double digits this year over 2016. … Continued

1Q17 Revision Trend In Earnings Good – One-Hit Wonder Or To Last Through ’17 and ’18?

posted in: Economy, Equities | 0

As of last Friday, per S&P Dow Jones Indices estimates, 1Q17 sales of S&P 500 companies were $293.82/share.  This amounts to a decline of 2.4 percent quarter-over-quarter, but year-over-year sales were up 7.2 percent.  This was the fastest quarterly growth … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of April 25, 2017. 10-year note: Currently net long 214.6k, up 255.9k. Ten-year Treasury yields did indeed test support-turned-resistance at 2.31 percent this week.  In fact, they rose all the way to 2.35 … Continued