CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of April 21, 2020. 10-year note: Currently net short 34.1k, down 36.7k. The FOMC meets next week.  A two-day meeting begins Tuesday.  This comes after March’s hectic schedule which included two unscheduled meetings.  … Continued

Despite Massive Rally In Stocks, Risk-On MIA – Be It Through Lens Of Copper Vs Gold, Small-Caps Vs Large-Caps Or Offensives Vs Defensives

In less than a month, major U.S. stock indices have witnessed phenomenal rallies.  This would be a lot healthier if risk-on metrics rallied right along. U.S. stocks have rallied massively off of last month’s lows.  From the March 23rd bottom … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of April 7, 2020. 10-year note: Currently net short 61k, up 8k. The Fed continues to spread its policy tentacles.  During the financial crisis of 2007-2008, it began to aggressively purchase Treasury securities … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of March 31, 2020. 10-year note: Currently net short 53k, down 159k. In the week to Wednesday, SOMA (System Open Market Account) holdings went up another $432.2 billion to $4.77 trillion – a … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of March 24, 2020. 10-year note: Currently net short 212k, down 39.1k. Monday, the Fed went all in – essentially.  It now has an open-ended QE program in place.  There is no set … Continued

Bulls Cannot Afford Breach Of 2100+ On S&P 500 And 950-960 On Russell 2000

posted in: Credit, Equities, Technicals | 0

The announcement of QE4 last week failed to stabilize stocks.  This is unlike how they behaved during QE1/2/3.  Fear rules.  Just a month ago, greed did.  Sentiment will reverse.  Last week, major U.S. equity indices were once again slammed.  Even … Continued

Amidst Last Week’s Bloodbath, Bulls Defend Crucial Support On Major US Equity Indices Fri

posted in: Credit, Economy, Equities, Technicals | 0

Last week, all major US equity indices lost north of 10 percent and were down a lot more at session lows Friday.  If there is any consolation in this, amidst the carnage, bulls stepped up to defend important support.  Some … Continued