CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of May 19, 2020. 10-year note: Currently net short 93.1k, down 58.4k. This data is a little outdated, but foreigners were big sellers of Treasury securities in March.  On a net basis, they … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of May 12, 2020. 10-year note: Currently net short 151.5k, up 9.2k. On Wednesday, Jerome Powell, Fed chair, provided a gloomy view of the economy, saying the nation was experiencing an economic hit … Continued

Stocks Increasingly Pricing In V-Shaped Recovery – What If It Is W Or U or L?

Stocks have diverged from sharp deterioration in fundamentals.  At the lows, several indicators were at washout levels, resulting in the massive rally that followed.  But at this point in time, they may be responding more to the Fed’s monetary backstop … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of May 5, 2020. 10-year note: Currently net short 142.3k, up 92.8k. On March 9th intraday, the 10-year Treasury yield made an all-time low of 0.4 percent.  On February 6th, yields tagged 1.67 … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of April 28, 2020. 10-year note: Currently net short 49.4k, up 15.3k. In the week ended February 11th, non-commercials held 398,919 net shorts in 10-year note futures.  On the 12th that month, the … Continued

As Top Five Get Ready To Report This Week, Cap-Weighted Indices At Crucial Juncture

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The top five stocks report this week.  They have rallied massively since March lows.  Investor reaction to their earnings will determine if major cap-weighted indices continue their five-week upward momentum or hit the wall. This week, the big five report.  … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of April 21, 2020. 10-year note: Currently net short 34.1k, down 36.7k. The FOMC meets next week.  A two-day meeting begins Tuesday.  This comes after March’s hectic schedule which included two unscheduled meetings.  … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of April 14, 2020. 10-year note: Currently net short 70.8k, up 9.8k. The Fed is on a mission to provide a backstop to a whole host of assets.  Here is its report card … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of April 7, 2020. 10-year note: Currently net short 61k, up 8k. The Fed continues to spread its policy tentacles.  During the financial crisis of 2007-2008, it began to aggressively purchase Treasury securities … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of March 31, 2020. 10-year note: Currently net short 53k, down 159k. In the week to Wednesday, SOMA (System Open Market Account) holdings went up another $432.2 billion to $4.77 trillion – a … Continued