Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of June 23, 2015.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: Yields pushed up nearly 21 basis points for the week.  Sales of both new and existing homes did well in May (even though … Continued

FXE Looks Fatigued Near-Term — Options For Income Generation

The Friday before January 25th Greek elections, the euro closed at $1.123.  Yesterday, one euro bought $1.133. Since anti-austerity Syriza party swept to victory late January in Greece, the euro – by default FXE, the Currency Shares Euro Trust ETF … Continued

IWM Breaks Out — Shorts Can Use Options For Damage Repair

posted in: Derivatives, Equities, Technicals | 0

IWM, the iShares Russell 2000 ETF, broke out Thursday, and it is time to pay heed to that famous quote, “When the facts change, I change my mind.  What do you do, sir?” To refresh, back on May 26th, hypothetically … Continued

Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of June 16, 2015.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: Let us see if we can make some sense out of this week’s major developments.  The FOMC met, and it looked like members … Continued

Cash-Secured Put On TLT

posted in: Credit, Derivatives, Economy, Technicals | 0

TLT, the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond Fund, declined 16 percent between the all-time intra-day high of 137.09 on January 30 and the low of 115.26 last Wednesday. It is as if the bond market globally has been awakened from … Continued

GLD Looks Ripe For June Cash-Secured Put

There is a trade brewing on GLD, the SPDR Gold Trust ETF. First some background. Ever since gold peaked in September 2011, the metal has lost its luster.  Back then, GLD had $77.7 billion in assets, becoming the ETF with … Continued

VIX Likely Decides Who Wins Duel Between Transports And Financials

posted in: Derivatives, Equities, Technicals | 0

Bears point to action in transports to drive point home Bulls cite how financials are acting to prove why bears are wrong VIX remains pinned by 15, bullish (financials); VIX past 15, bearish (transports) Much ink has been spilled over … Continued

Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of June 2, 2015.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: Yields have decisively broken out of a five-month downtrend channel.  The only question is what triggered this. To quote the Beige Book: “The … Continued

Weekly Out-Of-The-Money Naked Call On QQQ To Possibly Go Short

posted in: Derivatives, Equities, Technicals | 0

The PowerShares QQQ (110.05), the ETF that tracks the Nasdaq 100, seems to want to go lower, at least near-term. When the Qs broke out of 104-plus in February, it quickly added nearly four percent, rallying seven-plus percent for the … Continued