Exiting XLE Long — With Small Profit

To say that energy stocks are back in favor will be an exaggeration, but they have perked up of late. Off the January 20th intra-day low, XLE, the SPDR Energy ETF, has rallied north of 16 percent.  That is in … Continued

Enjoying Equity Rally While It Lasts

Stocks are rallying.  In fact, off the intra-day low last week, the S&P 500 index (1906.9) is already up 5.2 percent. Last Wednesday’s hammer reversal on the index looks similar to the ones on October 15, 2014 and August 24, … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of December 29, 2015.  Change is week-over-week.  (Due to New Year’s Day last week, the CFTC released numbers on Monday, instead of last Friday.) 10-year note: ‘Will it or wouldn’t it?’ was … Continued

XLE Weekly Covered Call Post-Buy Write

Oil bulls can take heart.  Maybe. Spot West Texas Intermediate crude ($37.07/barrel) is likely on the verge of a 10/20 (daily moving average) crossover.  The crude has more or less been going sideways/slightly up the past couple of weeks, and … Continued

U.S. Stocks’ Near-Term Path Uncertain, But Outlook Cloudy Medium- To Long-Term

For the second consecutive year, U.S. stocks are struggling to get traction in December.  Month-to-date, the S&P 500 large cap index is down 0.9 percent.  December last year was down 0.4 percent. In fact, before trading began last week, the … Continued

SPY Weekly Short Put — Willing To Go Long Near Support

December thus far has been uncharacteristically quiet.  And that is putting it nicely.  U.S. stocks have failed to get seasonal traction this month.  So far. There are eight sessions remaining before the year is out.  So there is hope. Since … Continued