CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of April 14, 2020. 10-year note: Currently net short 70.8k, up 9.8k. The Fed is on a mission to provide a backstop to a whole host of assets.  Here is its report card … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of April 7, 2020. 10-year note: Currently net short 61k, up 8k. The Fed continues to spread its policy tentacles.  During the financial crisis of 2007-2008, it began to aggressively purchase Treasury securities … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of March 31, 2020. 10-year note: Currently net short 53k, down 159k. In the week to Wednesday, SOMA (System Open Market Account) holdings went up another $432.2 billion to $4.77 trillion – a … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of March 24, 2020. 10-year note: Currently net short 212k, down 39.1k. Monday, the Fed went all in – essentially.  It now has an open-ended QE program in place.  There is no set … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of March 17, 2020. 10-year note: Currently net short 251.1k, up 36.5k. On Sunday, while cutting the fed funds rate by 100 basis points to zero-bound, the Fed also committed to purchase $500 … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of March 10, 2020. 10-year note: Currently net short 214.6k, up 57.9k. Next week, the FOMC meets.  This follows a 50-basis-point emergency cut of last week, to a range of 100 to 125 … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

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Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of March 3, 2020. 10-year note: Currently net short 156.7k, down 117.3k. It seems nothing matters.  On a day the bond market found out the US economy produced much-better-than-expected 273,000 non-farm jobs in … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of February 25, 2020. 10-year note: Currently net short 274k, down 32.2k. There it goes!  The 10-year Treasury yield (1.13 percent) pierced through the lows from July 2012 and July 2016 – 1.39 … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of February 11, 2020. 10-year note: Currently net short 398.9k, up 40k. The Fed for all intents and purposes has been preparing the markets for more liquidity to come. Since late September last … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of February 4, 2020. 10-year note: Currently net short 358.9k, up 88.5k. One more week of additional liquidity from the Fed!  In the week to Wednesday, SOMA (System Open Market Account) holdings went … Continued