CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of September 18, 2018. 10-year note: Currently net short 684.7k, up 2k. The 10-year Treasury rate (3.07 percent) has once again reached a battle zone.  The last time these notes yielded just north … Continued

Once Again, 10-Year T-Yield Attempts To Convincingly Take Out 3%

posted in: Credit, Derivatives, Economy, Technicals | 0

The 10-year Treasury yield is at it again, trying to convincingly break out of just north of three percent.  Shorts have done very well in the past year.  They will mint money should a breakout occur.  A lack thereof also … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of September 11, 2018. 10-year note: Currently net short 682.7k, down 73. The 10-year Treasury rate (2.99 percent) rose from 2.81 percent on August 22 to Friday’s high of three percent.  At least … Continued

Long And Short Of Short Interest

posted in: Equities, Technicals | 0

Here is a brief review of period-over-period change in short interest in the August 16-31 period in nine S&P 500 sectors. XLB (SPDR materials ETF) XLB (59.20) continues to go back and forth around its 50- and 200-day moving averages … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of September 4, 2018. 10-year note: Currently net short 682.8k, up 152.9k. Bulls and bears went back and forth this week around the 50-day moving average until Friday when the 10-year rate (2.94 … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of August 21, 2018. 10-year note: Currently net short 700.5k, up 2.3k. The 10-year T-yield (2.83 percent) lost five basis points this week.  The neckline of a potentially bearish head-and-shoulders formation has been … Continued

QQQ Bull-Fear Tug Of War Intact, But Bulls Face Waning Momentum

posted in: Equities, Technicals | 0

QQQ bulls faced channel resistance a month ago, but defended channel support of different duration.  They are, however, facing headwinds of waning momentum. The bull-bear tug of war continues on QQQ (Invesco QQQ Trust).  On July 25, bulls were rejected … Continued