With powerful reversal yesterday, stocks’ path of least resistance up N/T

posted in: Derivatives, Equities, Technicals | 0

U.S. stocks shake off early weakness before carving out major reversal Bulls step up to plate, refuse to give away support zones on major indices VIX and ISEE index suggest stocks’ path of least resistance probably up N/T If you … Continued

Onus on bulls to regroup — little margin of error this week

posted in: Equities, Technicals | 0

Major U.S. indices approaching/sitting on/slightly under critical technical levels U.S. indices give back Eurozone QE gains; key would be if European bourses do so U.S. bulls probably swimming against tide for now, but technical damage not irreparable U.S. equity indices … Continued

A peek into future through the futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of January 27 (Tuesday).  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: Can we say squeeze?  Since the end of December, net shorts have dropped 59 percent, even as the 10-year yield has collapsed 50 … Continued

Oct 15th trough in stocks forces short-covering, can bulls squeeze some more?

posted in: Equities | 0

October 15th bottom in stocks forces shorts to cover in many sectors IWM expends lots of short-covering fuel to approach crucial resistance Nasdaq, NYSE short interest at multi-year highs, can bulls force squeeze? Since stocks bottomed on October 15th, naysayers … Continued

Even as 10-year attracts bids, non-commercials’ net shorts at four-year high

posted in: Credit, Derivatives, Economy | 0

10-year notes yielding lower vs when Nov’s blockbuster jobs report came out Large speculators’ net shorts in 10-year-note futures at four-plus-year high Bond vigilantes not buying hopes and prayers of escape-velocity backers Treasury bonds continue to catch a bid.  A … Continued

Gold overbought near-term, but continues to hold up well

posted in: Derivatives, Economy, Technicals | 0

Soft fundamentals, but gold continues to hold up well Large speculators added further to their net longs in gold futures Overbought near-term, but potential weakness likely gets bought near support Trend followers do what they do best.  Large speculators are … Continued

Duel between year-end seasonality (+ve) and QE end (-ve)

posted in: Credit, Economy, Equities | 0

Economy was probably not reason why QE2/3 got launched, stock sell-off was One month after QE1/2 ended, stocks began to act sick, prompting Fed into action Year-end rally may or may not happen; impending sell-off to test Fed’s pain threshold … Continued