CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of September 29, 2015.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: Hat tip to bond vigilantes!  Heading into the FOMC meeting two weeks ago, they never bought into the message coming out of the … Continued

For Rate-Hike Clues, Focusing On Jobs Trend, Not Just Monthly Numbers

posted in: Credit, Economy | 0

Today is jobs day.  At 8:30 later this morning, the Bureau of Labor Statistics publishes the report card for September.  A monthly ritual that markets more often than not await with abated breath.  Particularly so this time around as the … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of September 22, 2015.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: Last week, post-FOMC decision not to hike, stocks fell.  They had rallied strongly into the meeting, and were probably set to drop either … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of September 15, 2015.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: When the Fed finally raises rates – whenever that is – ahead of that move should we now pay attention to fed funds … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of September 8, 2015.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: More jawboning this week!  Following in the footsteps of Christine Lagarde, IMF managing director, Kaushik Basu, World Bank chief economist, says the Fed … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of September 1, 2015.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: The IMF is at it again.  This week, it reiterated its stance that advanced economies should maintain accommodative monetary policies.  By that it … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of August 25, 2015.  Change is week-over-week.  (Please keep in mind that these holdings are as of Tuesday.  By then, from high to low the S&P 500 was down 12.5 percent.  In … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials contained in the Commitment of Traders report as of August 18, 2015.  Change is week-over-week.  (Please note that these holdings are as of Tuesday.  The S&P 500 swooned six percent in the next … Continued

JNK Relief Rally Possible Short-Term, But More Pain Probably Lies Ahead Medium- To Long-Term

posted in: Commodities, Credit, Equities, Technicals | 0

One look at Chart 1, and it is hard to notice a significant change in momentum behind the U.S. high-yield debt market.  Through July, issuance totaled $188.4 billion.  Annualized, 2015 is on track to issuing north of $300 billion – … Continued

COT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of August 11, 2015.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: How might the renminbi devaluation impact the Fed’s desire to hike rates this year?  The devaluation is at least disinflationary as far U.S. … Continued