Infrastructure Spending – Markets Pricing In Too Much Of Good News?

posted in: Credit, Economy, Equities, Technicals | 0

“…I want to solve health care, jobs, border control, tax reform.” The above quote is from a weekend interview president-elect Donald Trump gave to the Wall Street Journal. The article also talks about his willingness to keep parts of the … Continued

Major U.S. Indices Clinging On To Support – Medium-Term Risk High

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Equity bears have been rewarded the past couple of weeks, with the S&P 500 large cap index down 1.6 percent.  There is likely more reward medium term, but near-term is a toss-up. In the wake of the 2.5-percent drop on … Continued

Short Interest Tailwind Continues – Remaining Shorts Likely To Have Last Laugh?

posted in: Economy, Equities, Technicals | 0

U.S. equities continue to enjoy short-interest tailwind, but are likely to face difficulty doing so in the weeks to come. In the latest period, on an index level, short interest continued to drop.  The July 15-29 two-week period saw it … Continued

XLF, Rallying Along 2-Year Treasury Yield, Likely To Offer Opportunity To Shorts In Due Course

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The correlation between financials and the two-year Treasury yield is tight.  The latter tends to be sensitive to Fed action. In recent months in particular, the two-year has been on a roller-coaster ride trying to keep up with FOMC members’ … Continued

Decent Odds Of Rally Near-Term So Long As S&P 500 Does Not Lose 2040

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Equity bulls are putting down their foot, and have near-term momentum on their side so long as 2040 on the S&P 500 is not lost. Off the April 20th high through last Thursday’s intra-day low, the S&P 500 lost four … Continued

S&P 500 Stages Yet Another Breakout — Although Feebly — Likely Wouldn’t Hold

In early April, the S&P 500 (2080.73) is rejected by a July 2015 declining trend line.  After a subsequent slight pullback, the index reenergizes itself and goes for that resistance again.  Last Thursday, it succeeds (Chart 1).  But is the … Continued