Odds Favor Equity Bulls Than Bears At Present

posted in: Derivatives, Equities, Technicals | 0

Both the S&P 500 and VIX closed lower last week. This occurred even as the major US equity indices are at/near decent/major support. Right here and now, odds favor the bulls than the bears. Last week, both the VIX index … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of October 24, 2023. 10-year note: Currently net short 563.4k, down 147.4k. The FOMC meets next week. After this, there is only one scheduled meeting left this year – on December 12-13. The … Continued

3Q Tech Earnings Fail To Ignite Buying Interest, But Crucial Dual Support On Nasdaq 100 Unlikely To Yield Right Away

posted in: Equities, Technicals | 0

In a week in which several tech behemoths reported their September quarter, the Nasdaq 100 is down 3.1 percent through Thursday, falling out of a descending channel. But tech bulls have dual support just underneath – Fibonacci and moving average. … Continued

With Tech Majors Ready To Report, Up To Tech Bulls To Try To Stop Equity Bears Who Made Further Strides Last Week

posted in: Credit, Equities, Technicals | 0

Equity bears attacked where they could potentially have last week. With technicals in their favor, they will try to make further gains this week. It is up to the tech bulls to stop that from happening. Major tech outfits are … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of October 17, 2023. 10-year note: Currently net short 710.7k, down 2.2k. Yet another week and yet another intraday high! Thursday, the 10-year treasury yield reached the highest since July 2007 – a … Continued

Equity Momentum Faded As Last Week Progressed, Bearish Sentiment Not Elevated Enough To Help Out Bulls

posted in: Uncategorized | 0

Equity bulls rallied the major US stock indices strongly early last week, but the momentum faded as the week progressed. One of the reasons for this is the lack of potential tailwind coming from heightened bearish sentiment. Equity bulls are … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of October 10, 2023. 10-year note: Currently net short 713k, down 20.9k. The 10-year treasury yield was volatile this week, to say the least. The five sessions went like this – up, down, … Continued

As Banks Get Ready To Report 3Q, KBE At Crucial Juncture; Breakout Can Set Off Short Squeeze, Short Interest At Nearly 3-Year High

posted in: Equities, Technicals | 0

Financials will start reporting 3Q results pre-open tomorrow. From May’s low, KBE has rallied into potentially crucial resistance. A breakout can trigger short squeeze. KBE short interest just shot up. The September-quarter earnings season is upon us. Customarily, financials will … Continued

Equity Bulls Put Foot Down, Reflex Rally Due; Potential Catalysts Include 3Q Earnings And 10-Year T-Yield

posted in: Uncategorized | 0

With high-single-digit losses in major US stock indices since mid- to late-July, bulls made it clear last week they are putting their foot down. A reflex rally is probable. The 3Q earnings season begins in earnest later this week, and … Continued