Bulls have baton, bears hot on heels

posted in: Equities, Technicals | 0

Bulls desperately need to retake 200-dma on S&P 500 Potential unwinding of oversold technical conditions can act as tailwind Failure to build on Wednesday’s hammer reversal pattern will mean rockier times down the line Last week, we discussed the significance … Continued

Options market waving green flag to stocks, for now

posted in: Derivatives, Equities, Technicals | 0

Options market at levels consistent with bottom in stocks, at least near-term Signal in midst of several other grossly oversold technical indicators Tone of rally to decide if it is investable or tradable bottom Extreme readings in the options market … Continued

NFIB September capX plans dash hopes of capX revival

posted in: Economy | 0

Revised 2Q14 U.S. GDP estimates revived hopes of capX revival U.S. corporates have continued to disappoint as relates to adding capital NFIB capX plans in September show why that is not likely to change anytime soon When the preliminary estimates … Continued

Bulls have opportunity to squeeze shorts near-term, can they deliver?

posted in: Equities, Technicals | 0

Shorts added to already-elevated positions on time to take advantage of latest decline in equities Indices in gross oversold conditions, giving bulls opportunity to try to squeeze shorts If shorts resist these pressures well, that signals rockier time ahead for … Continued

Slower-than-expected September in tech — blip or trend in making?

posted in: Economy, Equities | 0

As company with 80k customer base, Microchip’s Friday 3Q14 warning caught majority by surprise Commentary from other tech outfits suggest things slowed down in September Too soon to say it is trend in making, but deserves close watch Did things … Continued

Bulls on back foot, bears have spring in step

posted in: Derivatives, Equities, Technicals | 0

200-day moving average perceived by many as demarcation line between bull and bear market VIX surges past 17-18 and nears two-year-plus 21-22 resistance, but yet to retreat (Re) action at/near previous breakdown points to decide who wins out Defensive sectors … Continued

Why are markets failing to rally on dovish Fed message?

posted in: Credit, Currency, Economy, Equities | 0

Fed has openly discussed benefits of wealth effect; now adds another tool – talking down dollar Six years into recovery post-crisis, U.S. economy yet to witness escape velocity Dovish FOMC message fails to ignite sustained rally in US equities These … Continued

Bulls have one more opportunity to take crack at resistance

posted in: Equities, Technicals | 0

Equity bulls and bears lock up horns in quest to dictate near-term direction Last week’s lows saved on major indices, amidst very bullish engulfing patterns VIX once again rejected at/near 17-18; one more opportunity for bulls to take out resistance … Continued