Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of January 19, 2021. 10-year note: Currently net long 46.6k, up 96.8k. A two-day FOMC meeting begins on Tuesday. This is the first meeting of the year – one of the eight scheduled … Continued
Last week, Fed officials threw cold water on incipient taper talk, making it clear they would continue to purchase treasury securities. This followed a backup this month in rates in the long end of the treasury yield curve, with the … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of January 12, 2021. 10-year note: Currently net short 50.2k, up 77.9k. No sooner than the 10-year treasury yield rallied past one percent than several Fed officials, including Chair Jerome Powell on Thursday, … Continued
Georgia Senate results have pretty much ensured a new round of stimulus money as well as a fresh infrastructure package. Stocks had a massive 4Q, with the S&P 500 jumping 11.7 percent. This helped push the price-to-sales ratio further into … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of January 5, 2021. 10-year note: Currently net long 27.7k, up 2.4k. After losing one percent last March, bond bears (on price) had been unable to reclaim the level. That ended Wednesday when … Continued
After repeated tries for months now, the 10-year Treasury yield finally broke through one percent on Wednesday. After Democrats won the two runoff Senate races in Georgia, markets are betting on more fiscal stimulus in quarters to come. Bond bears … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of December 29, 2020 (data was made public this Monday instead of last Friday due to New Year’s holiday). 10-year note: Currently net long 25.2k, down 24.9k. FOMC minutes for the December 15-16 … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of December 22, 2020 (data was made public this Monday instead of last Friday due to Christmas holiday). 10-year note: Currently net long 50.2k, up 22.8k. Once again last week, bond bears (on … Continued
With investor sentiment elevated and help from the Fed, margin debt and foreigners, major US equity indexes remain near highs. Bulls are positioning for a Santa rally, followed by the onset of 4Q earnings season in the first half next … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of December 15, 2020. 10-year note: Currently net long 27.4k, down 1.8k. Covid-19 vaccine or not, Fed Chair Jerome Powell is not wearing rose-colored glasses as far as the US economy is concerned … Continued