Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of June 9, 2015.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: Last week, the IMF urged the Fed to delay a rate hike until 2016.  This week, the World Bank said the same thing. … Continued

June Cash-Secured Put On XLP

From the mid-May high of $49.75 to the low this Monday of $47.46, XLP, the SPDR Consumer Staples ETF, quickly lost 4.6 percent.  In three weeks!  Monday produced a doji, right around its 200-day moving average.  By that time, daily … Continued

GLD Looks Ripe For June Cash-Secured Put

There is a trade brewing on GLD, the SPDR Gold Trust ETF. First some background. Ever since gold peaked in September 2011, the metal has lost its luster.  Back then, GLD had $77.7 billion in assets, becoming the ETF with … Continued

VIX Likely Decides Who Wins Duel Between Transports And Financials

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Bears point to action in transports to drive point home Bulls cite how financials are acting to prove why bears are wrong VIX remains pinned by 15, bullish (financials); VIX past 15, bearish (transports) Much ink has been spilled over … Continued

Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of June 2, 2015.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: Yields have decisively broken out of a five-month downtrend channel.  The only question is what triggered this. To quote the Beige Book: “The … Continued

Out-Of-The-Money Naked Call On XLY — Willing to Go Short Near 77

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The Consumer Discretionary SPDR ETF (XLY) made an all-time high of 77.89 toward the end of April, and has more or less traded sideways in the past three months – closing Monday at 76.52.  This ETF is an important one … Continued

Weekly Out-Of-The-Money Naked Call On QQQ To Possibly Go Short

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The PowerShares QQQ (110.05), the ETF that tracks the Nasdaq 100, seems to want to go lower, at least near-term. When the Qs broke out of 104-plus in February, it quickly added nearly four percent, rallying seven-plus percent for the … Continued