Volatility bulls have not been able to sustain rallies. Amidst this, non-commercials have been quietly reducing net shorts in VIX futures. If the past is any guide, VIX does not peak until these traders go net long or get close. … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of May 11, 2021. 10-year note: Currently net long 1.2k, up 8.5k. FOMC minutes for the April 27-28 meeting will be made public on Wednesday. The meeting was a non-event – pretty much. … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of May 4, 2021. 10-year note: Currently net short 7.2k, up 63k. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen stated on Tuesday that “it may be that interest rates will have to rise somewhat to make … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of April 20, 2021. 10-year note: Currently net long 15.6k, up 18.3k. The FOMC meets next week. It is the year’s third meeting; five more remain – the scheduled ones, that is. Not … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of April 13, 2021. 10-year note: Currently net short 2.7k, up 87.2k. Amid investor concerns that the market may get ahead of the Fed in terms of expectations for rate hikes and/or tapering … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of April 6, 2021. 10-year note: Currently net long 84.6k, up 174.4k. On March 17, the 10-year treasury yield broke out of 1.63 percent, subsequently rallying to 1.77 percent by the 30th. Rates … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of March 30, 2021. 10-year note: Currently net short 89.8k, up 102.1k. Minutes for the March 16-17 FOMC meeting will be out next Wednesday. Not much extra color is expected out of these … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of March 23, 2021. 10-year note: Currently net long 12.3k, up 8.2k. The 10-year treasury yield enjoyed several breakouts this year – out of one percent early January, 1.2 percent mid-February and 1.4 … Continued
Gold peaked last August, before beginning a strong downtrend. Amidst this, gold bugs have put their foot down at dual support, rallying the metal the last two weeks. Important resistance lies ahead. Real yields likely come to gold’s aid in … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of March 16, 2021. 10-year note: Currently net long 4.1k, up 50.2k. The FOMC left the benchmark rate between zero and 25 basis points this week. Also left unchanged was the asset buying … Continued