After 9 Weeks Of Rally, Signs Of Fatigue Last Week On Russell 2000/IWM

US stocks are on fire.  The Russell 2000/IWM was essentially unchanged last week, with the index down 0.03 percent and the ETF up 0.06 percent.  This followed nine weeks of persistent rally, during which they jumped 34 percent.  Conditions are … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of February 19, 2019. Beginning December 21, the CFTC was not able to publish reports on time due to the partial shutdown of the federal government, which has now reopened.  The CFTC expects … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of February 12, 2019. Beginning December 21, the CFTC was not able to publish reports on time due to the partial shutdown of the federal government, which has now reopened.  The CFTC expects … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of February 5, 2019. Beginning December 21, the CFTC was not able to publish reports on time due to the partial shutdown of the federal government, which has now reopened.  The CFTC expects … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of January 29, 2019. Beginning December 21, the CFTC was not able to publish reports on time due to the partial shutdown of the federal government, which has now reopened.  The CFTC expects … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of January 22, 2019. Beginning December 21, the CFTC was not able to publish reports on time due to the partial shutdown of the federal government, which has now reopened.  The CFTC expects … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of December 24, 2018. The below is from the CFTC site. “The last COT report was published on December 21, 2018.  Reports going forward from that date will be published in chronological order … Continued

CoT Update

posted in: Derivatives | 0

The CFTC has not updated the CoT report the past three weeks due to the partial shutdown of the federal government.  The publication will resume as government operations return to normal. Thanks for understanding!

TLT Overbought Near Term – Path Of Least Resistance Down

posted in: Credit, Derivatives, Economy, Technicals | 0

The 10-year T-yield dropped from 3.24 percent a month ago to last Thursday’s intraday low of 2.83 percent.  The daily chart is grossly oversold.  A rally looks imminent near term, meaning TLT is headed lower. US average hourly earnings for … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of November 6, 2018. 10-year note: Currently net short 539.2k, up 36.3k. In January, the 10-year Treasury rate broke out of 2.62 percent.  Then in September, it took out 2.95 percent, followed by … Continued