CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of October 26, 2021. 10-year note: Currently net short 114.8k, up 114.3k. The FOMC meets next week. This is the year’s seventh meeting. After this, one more remain. At the September 21-22 meeting, … Continued

After Negative Last Week, US Equity Indices Headed For Test Of Crucial Nearby Support

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After dropping by a decent amount last week, major US equity indices are headed for a test of nearby support, which in the case of the S&P 500 is merely 0.8 percent away. Over the past 16 months, bulls’ mettle … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of September 7, 2021. 10-year note: Currently net long 780, up 30.6k. Once again on Tuesday, the 10-year treasury yield faced stiff resistance at just under 1.4 percent; the session high 1.39 percent … Continued

Last Week, VIX And S&P 500 Moved Hand In Hand; Volatility Is Itching To Move Up

Last week, the VIX index and the S&P 500 moved together – a rare occurrence. At least near term, the former seems to be itching to move up and the latter down. Medium- to long-term, how tapering evolves, and its … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of August 31, 2021. 10-year note: Currently net short 29.8k, up 143.1k. Twice in August, the 10-year treasury yield retreated after ticking 1.38 percent. This was just before testing broken-support-turned-resistance at low-1.40s. Back … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of June 29, 2021. 10-year note: Currently net short 60k, up 57.6k. FOMC minutes for the June 15-16 meeting are due out next Wednesday. The meeting was a surprise to the markets in … Continued

After 4 Up Weeks, Gold At Crucial Juncture – Pause Likely Before $1,920s Get Taken Out

Gold has rallied for four straight weeks – up more than 14 percent from early March. Last week, the metal just about tested crucial resistance at $1,920s. Conditions – daily in particular – are overbought, and a pause is the … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of May 25, 2021. 10-year note: Currently net long 104.4k, up 72.7k. In the week to Wednesday, Federal Reserve assets declined $19.3 billion week-over-week to $7.9 trillion but the prior week’s $7.92 trillion … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of February 9, 2021. 10-year note: Currently net long 79.5k, up 20.9k. Minutes for the January 26-27 FOMC meeting – the first of eight scheduled meetings this year – will be out Wednesday. … Continued