QQQ Retreats After Testing Channel Resistance – Covered Put Possible Strategy

QQQ made an all-time high last week, but failed at channel resistance.  With the 2Q earnings season winding down, shorts may have better odds. QQQ (Invesco QQQ Trust) hit a new all-time high of $182.93 last Wednesday.  It has had … Continued

Nasdaq 100 Last Week Retreats From Crucial Level – Action This Week Could Be Telling

The Nasdaq 100 index/QQQ could be potentially forming the right side of a bearish head-and-shoulders pattern.  This week’s action could provide further clues. The US economy is one month short of completing nine years of expansion.  The recovery has been … Continued

Both Hard And Soft Data Not Pointing Toward Capex Resurgence Post-Tax Cuts

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The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017 – signed into law on December 22 last year – allows U.S. companies to repatriate the cash they have socked away overseas by paying 15.5 percent, rather than the previous 35 percent.  … Continued

Amidst Subdued Capex Scene, Nasdaq 100 Scores Yet Another High Last Fri

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The tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 index is doing very well so far this year – up 22.4 percent.  This compares with a rise of 10.3 percent for the Dow Industrials, 10.1 percent for the S&P 500 large cap index, and a … Continued

Having Peaked 10 Q’s Ago, Corporate Profits Inch Up In 2Q17 – ’18 S&P 500 Ests Elevated

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U.S. corporate profits adjusted for inventory valuation and capital consumption grew 1.3 percent quarter-over-quarter in 2Q17 to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $2.14 trillion, but growth has been uneven since peaking at $2.23 trillion in 4Q14. Since that peak … Continued

Nasdaq 100 In/Near Record Territory – Momentum Strong, Fundamentals Weak

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U.S. tech stocks have come to life.  The Nasdaq composite (5213.14) is within spitting distance of its all-time high 5231.94 of July last year.  On a weekly closing basis, last week was a new record. The Nasdaq 100 index (4784.74) … Continued

Laggard Russell 2000 – Can It Follow Trail Blazed By S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100?

July turned out to be an important month for the S&P 500 large cap index.  More than a year after it peaked in May last year, the index reached a new high, rising 3.6 percent for the month. The July … Continued

Low Capacity Utilization Dissuades Businesses From Aggressive Capex Plans

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U.S. capex continues to let down. May’s revised figures for new orders for non-defense capital goods ex-aircraft – proxy for business capital expenditures – were published on Tuesday, and there was not much change in the trend. Orders fell 0.5 … Continued

Dismal U.S. Capex Scene Continues — Not Likely To Change Anytime Soon

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U.S. corporate capital expenditures have been lackluster.  That is an understatement. As a percent of real GDP in 3Q15, non-residential fixed investment comprised 12.8 percent.  The post-Great Recession high of 12.9 percent was recorded in each of the three quarters … Continued

Case For U.S. Rates Needing To Stay Lower For Longer

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The energizer bunny marches on.  The U.S. consumer, that is. In the third quarter, the U.S. economy grew an annualized 1.5 percent.  This was the first estimate, so it probably gets revised up or down by the time we have … Continued