CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of March 1, 2016.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: Unbelievable!  The Japanese government is getting paid to borrow money for a decade.  For the first time ever, Japan sells 10-year bonds at … Continued

IWM Breakout Or Fake-out? Futures Market Likely Decides

U.S. small-caps are rallying.  Rallying hard.  Harder than several of their peers. Since the intra-day low on February 11th, the Russell 2000 small cap index is up just north of 14 percent, also breaking out of 1035.  This level approximates … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of February 23, 2016.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: Negative interest rates have suddenly become the topic du jour.  Last month, Japan waded into negative interest rate policy (NIRP).  This was totally … Continued

Equity Bulls Likely To Have Tough Go Of It

U.S. stocks began 2016 on the wrong foot.  That is an understatement. In fact, major indices peaked intra-day on December 29th (2015).  Using that high, the S&P 500 large cap index through the intra-day low on January 20th lost 13 … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of February 16, 2016.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: Global GDP will only expand at three percent this year.  Says the OECD – the latest body to cut growth forecast this year.  … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of February 9, 2016.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: On June 5, 2014, the ECB cut the deposit rate for the euro zone’s commercial banks to minus 0.1 percent from zero.  It … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of February 2, 2016.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: There you go!  Again. Less than three months after instituting the first rate hike in nine years, Fed officials are behaving as if … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of January 26, 2016.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: Two important developments took place this week in central banking. First, the Fed.  This week’s FOMC meeting was a non-event.  No interest-rate decision … Continued

Enjoying Equity Rally While It Lasts

Stocks are rallying.  In fact, off the intra-day low last week, the S&P 500 index (1906.9) is already up 5.2 percent. Last Wednesday’s hammer reversal on the index looks similar to the ones on October 15, 2014 and August 24, … Continued