Did Fri Breakout On S&P 500 Change Facts Enough For Bears To Change Mind?

“When the facts change, I change my mind.  What do you do, sir?” The above remark is often attributed to John Maynard Keynes, the British economist, although some dispute it.  Regardless who said it, it is a nice quote. More … Continued

IWM Breakout Or Fake-out? Futures Market Likely Decides

U.S. small-caps are rallying.  Rallying hard.  Harder than several of their peers. Since the intra-day low on February 11th, the Russell 2000 small cap index is up just north of 14 percent, also breaking out of 1035.  This level approximates … Continued

Exiting XLE Long — With Small Profit

To say that energy stocks are back in favor will be an exaggeration, but they have perked up of late. Off the January 20th intra-day low, XLE, the SPDR Energy ETF, has rallied north of 16 percent.  That is in … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of January 26, 2016.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: Two important developments took place this week in central banking. First, the Fed.  This week’s FOMC meeting was a non-event.  No interest-rate decision … Continued