Russell 2000 Back Below 1250s; Shorts, Who Have Been Adding, Will Have Strengthened Odds Should 1170s Give Way

posted in: Equities, Technicals | 0

Two weeks after breaking out of 1250s, the Russell 2000 (1233) is back below it.  IWM shorts never bought into the breakout.  They were probably driven more by the sharp deterioration in small-business profit trend.  Longs will be on the … Continued

Tech Rally Propelled By Short Squeeze – For Now, Relief Awaits Bruised Shorts

posted in: Equities, Technicals | 0

Since March lows, large-caps led, and tech led the large-caps.  Short squeeze helped.  Amidst signs of distribution in the Nasdaq 100 the past several sessions, relief likely awaits bruised shorts near term. Shorts have gotten squeezed – for the most … Continued

As Top Five Get Ready To Report This Week, Cap-Weighted Indices At Crucial Juncture

posted in: Derivatives, Equities, Technicals | 0

The top five stocks report this week.  They have rallied massively since March lows.  Investor reaction to their earnings will determine if major cap-weighted indices continue their five-week upward momentum or hit the wall. This week, the big five report.  … Continued

SMH Sits At Crucial Juncture – INTC Results With Nearly 11% Weight Can Decide Fate

posted in: Equities, Technicals | 0

Intel (INTC) reports later today.  This is coming at a crucial time as far as where SMH (VanEck Vectors Semiconductor ETF) is situated. Texas Instruments’ (TXN) results were received favorably Wednesday, with the stock up 4.8 percent.  It accounts for … Continued

Major U.S. Equity Indices Have Rallied To Important Resistance – Bears Likely Get Active

Unless a coronavirus vaccine is miraculously developed at record time, a V-shaped recovery in the economy is not probable.  Yet, stocks seem to be anticipating one.  The Fed is flooding the system with liquidity.  Stocks have rallied massively off of … Continued

NYSE, Nasdaq Short Interest Rises To Multi-Year Highs – Bulls Put Foot Down At/Near Crucial Support

posted in: Equities, Technicals | 0

NYSE and Nasdaq short interest jumped mid-March, to multi-year highs.  Bears could not have ridden the latest crash in stocks any better.  At the same time, bulls this week defended crucial support on both the S&P 500 and Russell 2000, … Continued

With Stocks Amidst New Round Of Selling Pressure, FOMC Meeting Next Week Could Decide If This Stops, Pauses Or Continues

Bears are making a killing.  Stocks have come under renewed selling pressure.  The S&P 500 is very close to losing 20 percent on a closing basis.  Amidst this, fresh from a 50-basis-point emergency cut of last week, the FOMC meets … Continued

Amidst Last Week’s Bloodbath, Bulls Defend Crucial Support On Major US Equity Indices Fri

posted in: Credit, Economy, Equities, Technicals | 0

Last week, all major US equity indices lost north of 10 percent and were down a lot more at session lows Friday.  If there is any consolation in this, amidst the carnage, bulls stepped up to defend important support.  Some … Continued

Reversing Earlier Cautious Attitude, Foreigners Increasingly A Tailwind To U.S. Stocks

posted in: Equities | 0

Foreigners, who had been cutting exposure for a while, have been warming up to U.S. stocks of late.  Bulls obviously would like this to continue.  Historically, foreigners’ activity and the S&P 500 have shown a tendency to move in tandem. … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of February 11, 2020. 10-year note: Currently net short 398.9k, up 40k. The Fed for all intents and purposes has been preparing the markets for more liquidity to come. Since late September last … Continued