Bears Waste Another Opportunity – One More Possibly Around The Corner

posted in: Equities, Technicals | 0

Bulls put foot down.  Bears had an opening but were unable to make much out of it.  Another opportunity to take on the snorting bulls may be just around the corner. Since the S&P 500 large cap index (3297.59) peaked … Continued

Nasdaq Short Interest Rises To 4-Plus-Year High; Shorts Unwillingly May Be Helping Longs

posted in: Equities, Technicals | 0

Mid-January, Nasdaq short interest rose to a four-plus-year high.  In 14 months, the index rallied north of 52 percent.  Shorts find this, among others, a compelling reason to build positions.  Ironically, they may also end up helping longs defend support … Continued

Investor Optimism Giddy Going Into 4Q19 Earnings Season

Elevated multiples have not bothered equity bulls.  In recent months, the Fed too has come to their aid.  Investor optimism is dangerously elevated going into the 4Q19 earnings season. The 4Q19 earnings season kicks off this week.  Banks and brokers … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of November 12, 2019. 10-year note: Currently net short 148.8k, down 82.7k. TLT (iShares 20+ year Treasury bond ETF) peaked at $148.90 on August 28, ending the week at $137.76.  Since that peak … Continued

Shorts Contributed To Nasdaq’s Oct Rally, Bulls Looking To Squeeze More But Need To Defend Breakout Retest

posted in: Equities, Technicals | 0

Since bottoming early last month through last week’s high, The Nasdaq rallied more than 10 percent.  Shorts contributed, as short interest dropped 1.1 percent last month.  Short interest remains elevated.  Bulls are eyeing a squeeze.  For that, they need to … Continued

Nasdaq 100 Reaches New High Last Fri, S&P 500 Itching To Do So; Left Curveball Could Come From VIX Futures In Due Course

posted in: Derivatives, Equities, Technicals | 0

The S&P 500 is itching to make a new high.  The Nasdaq 100 achieved that feat last Friday.  Lowered earnings estimates for the third quarter went a long way, among others.  Bulls have momentum right now.  Medium- to long-term, massive … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of October 15, 2019. 10-year note: Currently net short 99.7k, down 22.9k. Most US economic data out this week continued to point to sluggish activity.  Retail sales in September fell 0.25 percent month-over-month … Continued

Nasdaq 100 1.1% From July Peak, New High Potentially Squeezes Shorts

posted in: Equities, Technicals | 0

With spring in their step, tech bulls Tuesday rallied the Nasdaq 100 to trend-line resistance from the all-time high set in July.  A new high has the potential to squeeze shorts.  Nasdaq short interest is at a four-year high.  There … Continued