Introducing Hedgopia Risk Reward Index, and it is telling us risk is rising

posted in: Derivatives, Equities, Technicals | 0

Equities are choppy.  The S&P 500 large cap index (2099.68) is essentially flat for the week.  Participation is thin.  Volume is anemic.  Fresh on the heels of last week’s breakouts, indices are trying to build on those gains.  But conviction … Continued

Can bulls continue to climb wall of elevated short interest worry?

posted in: Equities | 0

Bull markets need fuel for continued push higher. Money can leave other asset classes, such as bonds, and into stocks.  Or, they can come out of, let us say, money-market funds into stocks.  Foreigners can raise net purchases of U.S. … Continued

BBG poll of 54% expecting U.S. markets to outperform this year in line with giddy NAAIM sentiment

posted in: Equities | 0

Bloomberg poll: international investors most bullish on U.S. markets in more than five years Giddy sentiment in agreement with message coming out of NAAIM and II Inflows from overseas key; as of November they are MIA Some interesting tidbit came … Continued

Time to be contrarian?

posted in: Equities, Technicals | 0

“Markets can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent” Message from several technical indicators not uniformly bearish, but leans that way Time to be contrarian?  NAAIM members’ exposure to U.S. stocks at 96, vs under 10 mid-October If U.S. … Continued

Stocks at a crossroads, rallies will probably get sold for now

posted in: Equities, Technicals | 0

With massive inflows just last week, stocks need another to stay afloat With at least three important events on calendar, Jan can throw wrench in the works With stocks holding up amidst signs of preference for risk-off; opportunity to sell … Continued

Oct 15th trough in stocks forces short-covering, can bulls squeeze some more?

posted in: Equities | 0

October 15th bottom in stocks forces shorts to cover in many sectors IWM expends lots of short-covering fuel to approach crucial resistance Nasdaq, NYSE short interest at multi-year highs, can bulls force squeeze? Since stocks bottomed on October 15th, naysayers … Continued

Bulls retake baton, as RUT eyes golden cross

posted in: Derivatives, Equities, Technicals | 0

After impressive two-day advance, Russell 2000 on verge of bullish golden cross Potential unwinding of VIX surge of early this week to act as tailwind for stocks In the end, rally nothing but gift for patient bears to short from … Continued

VIX spike-buy signal in the making near-term?

posted in: Derivatives, Equities, Technicals | 0

Sellers take advantage of early-morning strength to sell more stocks Amidst this, transports, high-yields draw buyers; panic noticed in VIX:VXV action Trade could be developing, but given developments in energy space, sustained rally not probable Another ugly day!  Could have … Continued

Duel between year-end seasonality (+ve) and QE end (-ve)

posted in: Credit, Economy, Equities | 0

Economy was probably not reason why QE2/3 got launched, stock sell-off was One month after QE1/2 ended, stocks began to act sick, prompting Fed into action Year-end rally may or may not happen; impending sell-off to test Fed’s pain threshold … Continued