SPY – Medium-Term Risks Building, But Can Rally Near Term

posted in: Credit, Economy, Equities, Technicals | 0

On the weekly chart, SPY remains grossly overbought, but near term there is room to rally – duration and magnitude notwithstanding.  Options can help. US core PCE (personal consumption expenditures) increased 1.96 percent year-over-year in May – essentially two percent.  … Continued

US Dollar Index Rallies 5.6% in 5 Weeks – If Sustained, Can Impact Inflation, Exports, Economy, Earnings

posted in: Currency, Economy, Technicals | 0

The US dollar index has rallied strongly in the past five weeks.  This can potentially have consequences for US inflation, exports, economy, earnings and what not.  But was the rise enough for FOMC members to discuss in the March meeting? … Continued

Fed Up — Doing Same Thing Over And Over, But Expecting Different Results!

Three months.  That is all it took for the Fed to do a 360. In the middle of last December, the fed funds rate was raised for the first time in nine years – to still-zero-bound 37 basis points.  The … Continued