US stocks took it on the chin last week. Large-caps held up better, but risk aversion was seen elsewhere. The Dow Industrials was essentially unchanged, and the S&P 500 large cap index lost one percent. The tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 index … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of October 2, 2018. 10-year note: Currently net short 740.2k, down 16.1k. Kudos to non-commercials for having doggedly remained bearish on 10-year Treasury notes. They reaped a bumper crop this week. In September … Continued
The 3Q18 earnings season begins in earnest next week. Small-caps have sold off big into this (more on this here), but not large-caps. The Dow Industrials Wednesday rose to a fresh high, although the session produced a candle with a … Continued
IWM is breaking down, losing one after another support. Amidst this, the daily is grossly oversold. A bounce can happen – or not. This perhaps creates an opportunity for a non-directional trade involving options. Small-caps are taking it on the … Continued
Here is a brief review of period-over-period change in short interest in the September 4-14 period in nine S&P 500 sectors. XLB (SPDR materials ETF) XLB (59.40) short interest is at an eight-month high. On September 20, the ETF was … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of August 21, 2018. 10-year note: Currently net short 700.5k, up 2.3k. The 10-year T-yield (2.83 percent) lost five basis points this week. The neckline of a potentially bearish head-and-shoulders formation has been … Continued
Major US equity indices are at/past late-January highs. Investor sentiment, on the other hand, is nowhere near as giddy. Is this good or bad? The Russell 2000 small cap index (1722.54) just broke out of a two-month pennant. Of major … Continued
The top five in the Nasdaq 100 are done reporting 2Q. They have had their post-earnings reaction – mostly positive. This is occurring even as the index just got repelled at six-month channel resistance. If bulls do not put their … Continued
With a feeble rectangle breakout and rejection at the upper end of a rising channel last week, SPY is giving out signs of fatigue. Things look good. Even great, some might argue. This Friday, the first print of 2Q18 GDP … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of July 17, 2018. 10-year note: Currently net short 469.1k, up 30k. Speaking to Congress in his Humphrey-Hawkins testimony this week, Jerome Powell, Fed chair, downplayed the risks posed by debt, saying nothing … Continued