Amidst Elevated ’18 Estimates, Wide Gap Between GAAP And Non-GAAP

posted in: Economy, Equities | 0

As of last Thursday, a little over four-fifths of S&P 500 companies reported 2Q17 results.  Of the 422 companies, 70.1 percent beat on operating earnings, 20.6 percent missed and 9.2 percent met, as per S&P Dow Jones Indices. In the … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures – How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of Aug 1, 2017. 10-year note: Currently net long 210.9k, down 69.8k. So far this year, there have been two rate hikes – and four altogether since the Fed started raising in December … Continued

Russell 2000 Loses Feb ’16 Trend line – Albeit Slightly – Potentially Important Development

posted in: Derivatives, Equities, Technicals | 0

The Russell 2000 small cap index is dangerously close to breaking down.  On Wednesday, it violated a rising trend line from February last year – albeit only slightly. Of the four major indices, the Russell 2000 is the first to … Continued

Limited Supply Of Homes Behind Price Acceleration – Inventory Inching Higher

posted in: Uncategorized | 0

Interesting dynamics are at play in U.S. housing. Sales of both existing and new homes are decent, but price has galloped ahead.  Add to that household formation and supply of homes, housing could very well be at an interesting juncture. … Continued

With Handsome Gains YTD, Major U.S. Indices Give Out Signs Of Fatigue

posted in: Economy, Equities, Technicals | 0

Amidst 2Q17 earnings and elevated multiples, some signs of fatigue are showing up on major U.S. indices. As of last Thursday, 2Q17 operating earnings of S&P 500 companies were on course for $30.70.  In the year-ago quarter, they were $25.70 … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures – How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of July 25, 2017. 10-year note: Currently net long 280.7k, down 1.6k. After seven years of keeping the fed funds rate between zero and 25 basis points, the Fed began to hike in … Continued

Ray Of Hope – At Least Near Term – For Bruised Volatility Bulls

posted in: Derivatives, Equities, Technicals | 0

The lack of volatility in volatility is once again giving rise to the phrase ‘it is different this time”.  If past is any guide, it seldom is. Spot VIX just created a record. VIX goes back to January 1990.  In … Continued